Back The Draw

2 from 3 winners last night has taken our profit to 9.55 pts with 8 winning draws from 17 selections a staggering 47% strike rate.



Today's selections

29/12/13

2-1 lost 3.65 Everton v Southampton
3-0 lost 4.30 Tottenham v Stoke

2 losses takes our total profit to 7.55pts and s/r 8/19 42%



There is Value in the Chelsea v Liverpool game tonight in the HT Score Market (Lay 0-0HT), also in the O2.5 and O3.5 markets, so get on over to footyVALUE.com and check it out.

Chelsea wins 2-1, gets the o2.5 up @1.79, loses on the o3.5, and with a 1st half goal wins the LAY0-0HT @3.7

Back The Draw

No winners last start, but we are still up 5.8pts with 6 from 14 (42%)


27/12/13

3-3 won 3.40 West Ham v West Bromwich
2-2 won 3.35 Cardiff v Sunderland
6-0 lost 3.40 Hull v Fulham


3.75 pts profit, total 9.55 pts profit with 8 from 17 (47%)

For more stats go to footyVALUE.com

Back The Draw

Our new BTD system is flying along with 8.8pts profit after 2 weeks, with plenty of games coming up lets see if we can continue the great run.



26/12/13

0-1 lost 3.55 Aston Villa v Crystal Palace
5-1 lost 3.80 Newcastle v Stoke
1-2 lost 3.55 Norwich v Fulham

3 pts loss, brings overall profit back to 5.8pts
Good Luck, enjoy your Christmas


Don't forget if you want Value, Get footyVALUE

BACK THE DRAW

Great results last week, lets see how we do this week

21/12/2013 

2-1 lost 3.30 Stoke v Aston Villa
0-0 won 3.50 Sunderland v Norwich
1-1 won 3.55 West Brom v Hull


22/12/2013  

2-3 lost 3.40 Southampton v Tottenham
1-2 lost 3.45 Swansea v Everton


23/12/2013  

0-0 won 3.45 Arsenal v Chelsea

+4.5 pts profit... nice

Don't forget to checkout footyVALUE.com with all the value selections for the weekend.

I would also like to take this opportunity wish you and your families a very Merry Christmas and a Safe New Year, thanks for following

Cheers, Dags

BACK THE DRAW 

15/12/13

0-5 LOST 3.50 Tottenham v Liverpool


We had a great start to this trial with 3 from 4 games ending up as a draw, earning 6.3 pts profit.



footyVALUE.com

A great night for footyVALUE members getting up 10 pts profit just by following stats and VALUE, if you haven't seen seen footyVALUE come on over. I run the site, has a chat room, and best of all is free.

thanks for following

dags

BACK THE DRAW 

Probably not a new theory to most, selections are based on a combination of the price of the home favourite and under 2.5 goals in the English Premier League


14/12/13

1-0 LOST 3.40 Cardiff v West Brom
0-0 WON 3.30 Hull City v Stoke
1-1 WON 3.45 Newcastle v Southampton
0-0 WON 3.55 West Ham v Sunderland

+6.3 PTS PROFIT

15/12/13

3.50 Tottenham v Liverpool

Get Value, Get footyVALUE

Luxbet Bonus

Luxbet have a nice $100 bonus bet

Place a bet on any market in the Western Sydney Wanderers and Melbourne Victory match (Saturday 16 November) and if the match is drawn at half time, we’ll give you a Bonus bet equal to your stake up to $100. Resulting bonus bet to be placed on A-League match result markets in next round (matches played 22 November – 24 November 2013). Applies to your first single bet on the match only (no Multis, Feature or Live Bets qualify).

Strategy

Sydney Wanderers
BACK $100 @ 1.7 Luxbet
LAY $95.51 @ 1.83 BF

MATCH Odds HT
LAY DRAW $40.49 @ 2.52 BF

If Draw HT - tradeout $100 bonus

if NOT Draw HT should profit $29.19

Download IF-Offers Calculator 

Today's footyVALUE bet

12/11/2013 19:45 GMT  

English Conference Premier
Cambridge v Aldershot

BACK UNDER 2.5

In Cambridge's 8 Home games 4 have been under 2.5

In Aldershot's 8 Away games ALL have been under 2.5

That is a 12 of 16 games 75% UNDER 2.5 and odds should be 1.33

on Betfair we can get 1.87 

Now that's VALUE

More footyVALUE bets Available ... Register Now!

Final Score 4-0 (Bet Lost)

Today's Value Bet


20/10/2013 16:00 GMT 
 
Norwegian - Tippeligaen

Sandnes v Odd Grenland

In Sandnes 13 Home games there have been 7 games under 2.5 goals and Odd's 13 Away games there have been 9 games under 2.5 goals.

That's a total of 16 from 26 games Under 2.5 (62%) so price should be 1.63, we can get 2.04 at Betfair

BACK Under 2.5 Goals @2.04

Now that is VALUE!



Get VALUE, Get footyVALUE

Hey Guys, 

Extending on in finding value in football betting, I have created footyVALUE.com.

Using stats from the current season of football with dozens of leagues around the world.

Combining these stats with Betfair prices, I can rule out betting on a team or market at odds below what they are worth.

Everyone knows that betting VALUE will win in the long term.

As I said footyVALUE stats are purely stats only on the current season, other variables such as key players, Manager changes, weather, crowds etc are not considered in any way.

It is not a selections service but more for information, giving you the tools to make your own decisions, or to confirm your decision.

BTTS, O/U, Lay 0-0Ht are all covered, so take a look, see if its worth while to help you in your trading or punting.

Good Luck

I follow @footy_VALUE 

new web site coming soon 

Today's Value Bet

Finnish Football - Veikkausliiga
JJK v MyPa

BACK Under 2.5 goals

JJK - 8 of 10 home games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 0.90)
MyPa - 5 of 9 away games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 0.78)

That's a total of 13 of 19 games or 68.4% = 1.46 odds Under 2.5 goals

My Strategy BACK u2.5 goals @ 1.83

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Swedish Football - Allsvenskan
Norrkoping v Mjallby

BACK Over 2.5 goals

Norrkoping - 6 of 7 home games have been Over 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 1.57)
Mjallby - 5 of 8 away games have been Over 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 1.13)

That's a total of 11 of 15 games or 73.3% = 1.36 odds Over 2.5 goals


My Strategy BACK o2.5 goals @ 1.85

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Swedish Football - Allsvenskan
Djurgardens v Helsingborgs

BACK Under 2.5 goals

Djurgardens - 5 of 8 home games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 1.13)
Helsingborgs - 6 of 8 away games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 1.88)

That's a total of 11 of 16 games or 68.8% = 1.45 odds Under 2.5 goals

My Strategy BACK u2.5 goals @ 1.99

Today's Value Bet's


Swedish Football - Allsvenskan
Atvidabergs v Gefle

BACK Over 2.5 goals

Atvidabergs - 5 of 8 home games have been Over 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 2.13)
Gefle - 6 of 8 away games have been Over 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 1.00)

That's a total of 11 of 16 games or 68.8% = 1.45 odds Over 2.5 goals


My Strategy BACK o2.5 goals @ 2.10

Final Score 1-1

-1pt

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Swedish Football - Allsvenskan
Halmstads v Malmo FF

BACK Under 2.5 goals

Halmstads - 7 of 8 home games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 0.63)
Malmo FF - 3 of 8 away games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 1.88)

That's a total of 10 of 16 games or 62.5% = 1.60 odds Under 2.5 goals

My Strategy BACK u2.5 goals @ 2.18

Final Score 1-3

-1pt

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Norwegian Football - Tippeligaen
Sarpsborg v Stromsgodset

BACK Under 3.5 goals

Sarpsborg - 6 of 8 home games have been Under 3.5 goals (Avg home goals 1.38)
Stromsgodset - 7 of 8 away games have been Under 3.5 goals (Avg Away goals 1.75)

That's a total of 13 of 16 games or 81.3% = 1.23 odds Under 3.5 goals


My Strategy BACK u3.5 goals @ 1.71

Final Score 2-4

-1pt

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Swedish Football - Allsvenskan
IFK Goteborg v Hacken

BACK Under 2.5 goals

IFK Goteborg - 6 of 8 home games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 1.75)
Hacken - 4 of 8 away games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 1.25)

That's a total of 10 of 16 games or 62.5% = 1.60 odds Under 2.5 goals

My Strategy BACK u2.5 goals @ 2.04

Final Score 3-1

-1pt

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Norwegian Football - Tippeligaen
Honefoss v Aalesunds

BACK Under 3.5 goals

Honefoss - 8 of 8 home games have been Under 3.5 goals (Avg home goals 1.00)
Aalesunds - 6 of 8 away games have been Under 3.5 goals (Avg Away goals 1.25)

That's a total of 13 of 16 games or 87.5% = 1.14 odds Under 3.5 goals


My Strategy BACK u3.5 goals @ 1.55

Final Score 2-5

-1pt

North American Football - MLS
Houston Dynamo v Columbus

BACK Under 3.5 goals

Houston - 11 of 11 home games have been Under 3.5 goals (Avg home goals 1.00)
Columbus - 9 of 11 away games have been Under 3.5 goals (Avg Away goals 1.27)

That's a total of 20 of 22 games or 90.9% = 1.10 odds Under 3.5 goals


My Strategy BACK u3.5 goals @ 1.32

Final Score 3-1

-1pt

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

North American Football - MLS
Portland Timbers v Vancouver Whitecaps

BACK Under 3.5 goals

Portland - 8 of 9 home games have been Under 3.5 goals (Avg home goals 1.78)
Vancouver - 9 of 10 away games have been Under 3.5 goals (Avg Away goals 1.00)

That's a total of 17 of 19 games or 89.5% = 1.12 odds Under 3.5 goals

My Strategy BACK u3.5 goals @ 1.38

Final Score 1-1

+0.38pts

Today's Value Bets


Japanese Football - J League
C-Osaka v Kofu

BACK Under 3.5 goals

C-Osaka - 7 of 9 home games have been Under 3.5 goals (Avg home goals 1.56)
Kofu - 7 of 9 away games have been Under 3.5 goals (Avg Away goals 0.89)

That's a total of 14 of 18 games or 77.8% = 1.29 odds Under 3.5 goals


My Strategy BACK u3.5 goals @ 1.46

Final Score 0-1

+0.46pts

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Japanese Football - J League
Kashiwa v Tosu

BACK Over 2.5 goals

Kashiwa - 9 of 9 home games have been Over 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 2.00)
Tosu - 5 of 9 away games have been Over 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 1.67)

That's a total of 14 of 18 games or 77.8% = 1.29 odds Over 2.5 goals


My Strategy BACK o2.5 goals @ 1.58

Final Score 2-1

+0.58pts

ALSO

BACK Over 3.5 goals

Kashiwa - 7 of 9 home games have been Over 3.5 goals (Avg home goals 2.00)
Tosu - 5 of 9 away games have been Over 3.5 goals (Avg Away goals 1.67)

That's a total of 12 of 18 games or 67.7% = 1.50 odds Over 3.5 goals


My Strategy BACK o3.5 goals @ 2.42

Final Score 2-1

-1pts

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Japanese Football - J League
Shonan v Yokohama FM

BACK Over 1.5 goals

Shonan - 9 of 9 home games have been Over 1.5 goals (Avg home goals 1.00)
Yokohama FM - 6 of 8 away games have been Over 1.5 goals (Avg Away goals 2.00)

That's a total of 15 of 17 games or 88.2% = 1.13 odds Over 1.5 goals

My Strategy BACK o1.5 goals @ 1.27

Final Score 1-2

+0.27pts

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Japanese Football - J League
Sendai v Kawasaki

BACK Over 1.5 goals

Sendai - 7 of 9 home games have been Over 1.5 goals (Avg home goals 1.00)
Kawasaki - 9 of 9 away games have been Over 1.5 goals (Avg Away goals 2.00)

That's a total of 16 of 18 games or 88.9% = 1.13 odds Over 1.5 goals

My Strategy BACK o1.5 goals @ 1.23

Final Score 2-1

+0.23pts

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Chinese Football - Super league
Guizhou Renhe v Guangzhou Evergrande


BACK Over 2.5 goals

Guizhou Renhe - 7 of 9 home games have been Over 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 1.56)
Guangzhou Evergrande - 6 of 9 away games have been Over 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 2.33)

That's a total of 13 of 18 games or 72.2% = 1.38 odds Over 2.5 goals


My Strategy BACK o2.5 goals @ 1.71

Final Score 2-2

+0.71pts

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Swedish Football - Allsvenskan
Kalmar FF v Syrianska FC

BACK Under 2.5 goals

Liaoning Hongyun - 4 of 8 home games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 1.33)
Shanghai Shenhua- 7 of 8 away games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 1.25)

That's a total of 11 of 16 games or 68.8% = 1.45 odds Under 2.5 goals

My Strategy BACK u2.5 goals @ 2.06

Final Score 1-0

+1.06pts

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Swedish Football - Allsvenskan
Osters v Brommapojkarna

BACK Over 1.5 goals

Osters - 7 of 8 home games have been Over 1.5 goals (Avg home goals 1.13)
Brommapojkarna - 7 of 8 away games have been Over 1.5 goals (Avg Away goals 0.75)

That's a total of 14 of 16 games or 87.5% = 1.14 odds Over 1.5 goals

My Strategy BACK o1.5 goals @ 1.34

Final Score 0-0

-1pt

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Norwegian Football - Tippeligaen
Viking v Lillestrom

BACK Under 3.5 goals

Viking - 7 of 8 home games have been Under 3.5 goals (Avg home goals 1.56)
Lillestrom - 8 of 8 away games have been Under 3.5 goals (Avg Away goals 0.89)

That's a total of 15 of 16 games or 93.8% = 1.07 odds Under 3.5 goals


My Strategy BACK u3.5 goals @ 1.48

Final Score 2-2

-1pt

Today's Value Bet


Irish Football - Airtricity Premier Division
Bohemians v UC Dublin

BACK Over 2.5 goals

Bohemians - 6 of 11 home games have been Over 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 0.64)
UC Dublin - 9 of 11 away games have been Over 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 1.55)

That's a total of 15 of 22 games or 68.2% = 1.47 odds Over 2.5 goals


My Strategy BACK o2.5 goals @ 1.93

Final Score 1-3

+0.93pts

ALSO

BACK Over 1.5 goals

Bohemians - 9 of 11 home games have been Over 1.5 goals (Avg home goals 0.64)
UC Dublin - 11 of 11 away games have been Over 1.5 goals (Avg Away goals 1.55)

That's a total of 20 of 22 games or 90.9% = 1.10 odds Over 1.5 goals

My Strategy BACK o1.5 goals @ 1.31

+0.31pts

Today's Value Bet

Chinese Football - Super League
Shanghai Shenxin v Jiangsu Sainty


BACK Over 2.5 goals

Shanghai Shenxin - 4 of 7 home games have been Over 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 1.00)
Jiangsu Sainty - 5 of 8 away games have been Over 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 0.75)

That's a total of 9 of 15 games or 60% = 1.67 odds Over 2.5 goals


My Strategy BACK o2.5 goals @ 2.10 (BetVictor)

Final Score 1-1

-1pt

Today' Value Bets

Chinese Football - Super League
Liaoning Hongyun v Shanghai Shenhua

BACK Under 2.5 goals

Liaoning Hongyun - 7 of 9 home games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 1.33)
Shanghai Shenhua- 5 of 9 away games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 1.25)

That's a total of 12 of 18 games or 70.6% = 1.42 odds Under 2.5 goals

My Strategy BACK u2.5 goals @ 1.82

Final Score 1-1

+0.82pts

==================================================
Chinese Football - Super League
Qingdao Jonoon v Changchun Yatai

BACK Under 2.5 goals

Qingdao Jonoon - 9 of 9 home games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 0.67)
Changchun Yatai- 6 of 8 away games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 0.80)

That's a total of 15 of 18 games or 82.4% = 1.21 odds Under 2.5 goals

My Strategy BACK u2.5 goals @ 1.71

Final Score 1-1

+0.71pts

==================================================

Chinese Football - Super League
Wuhan Zall v Guizhou Renhe

BACK Under 2.5 goals

Wuhan Zall - 5 of 8 home games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 1.00)
Guizhou Renhe- 7 of 8 away games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 0.63)

That's a total of 12 of 16 games or 75.0% = 1.33 odds Under 2.5 goals

My Strategy BACK u2.5 goals @ 1.82

Final Score 1-1

+0.82pts

==================================================

Japanese Football - J League
Shimizu v FC Tokyo

BACK Over 2.5 goals

Shimizu - 5 of 8 home games have been Over 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 1.13)
FC Tokyo - 8 of 8 away games have been Over 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 1.89)

That's a total of 13 of 16 games or 76.5% = 1.31 odds Over 2.5 goals


My Strategy BACK o2.5 goals @ 1.88

Final Score 0-0

-1pt

Swedish Football
Allsvenskan
Halmstads v Syrianska FC

BACK Under 2.5 goals

Halmstads - 6 of 7 home games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 0.57)

Syrianska FC - 5 of 7 away games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 0.57)

That's a total of 11 of 14 games or 78.6% = 1.27 odds Under 2.5 goals


My Strategy BACK u2.5 goals @ 2.02

Final Score 1-1

+1.02 pts

Today's Value Bet



Finnish Football
Veikkausliiga
FC Inter v KuPS

BACK Under 2.5 goals

FC Inter - 8 of 10 home games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 0.90)

KuPS - 6 of 9 away games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 0.78)

That's a total of 14 of 19 games or 73.7% = 1.36 odds Under 2.5 goals


My Strategy BACK u2.5 goals @ 1.74

Final Score 2-2

-1 pt





Norwegian Football
Tippeligaen
Stromsgodset v Honefoss

BACK Under 2.5 goals

Stromsgodset - 4 of 8 home games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 2.13)

Honefoss - 4 of 8 away games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 1.25)

That's a total of 8 of 16 games or 50% = 2.00 odds Under 2.5 goals


My Strategy BACK u2.5 goals @ 3.00

Final Score 6-1

-1 pt





Swedish Football
Allsvenskan
IFK Goteborg v Helsingborgs

BACK Under 2.5 goals

IFK Goteborg - 6 of 7 home games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 1.71)

Helsingborgs - 5 of 6 away games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 1.67)

That's a total of 11 of 13 games or 84.6% = 1.18 odds Under 2.5 goals


My Strategy BACK u2.5 goals @ 1.82

Final Score 2-4

-1 pt

Today's Value Bet


North American Football
MLS
Houston Dynamo v Chicago Fire

BACK Under 2.5 goals

Houston Dynamo - 8 of 10 home games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 1.00)

Chicago Fire - 4 of 8 away games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 0.63)

That's a total of 12 of 18 games or 66.7% = 1.50 odds Under 2.5 goals


My Strategy BACK u2.5 goals @ 1.90

Final Score 1-1

+0.9pts

Today's Value Bet


Finnish Football
Veikkausliiga
HJK Helsinki v JJK

BACK Under 3.5 goals

HJK Helsinki - 9 of 10 home games have been Under 3.5 goals (Avg home goals 1.70)

Jyvaskyla JK - 6 of 10 away games have been Under 3.5 goals (Avg Away goals 0.80)

That's a total of 15 of 20 games or 75% = 1.33 odds Under 3.5 goals


My Strategy BACK u3.5 goals @ 1.66

Final Score 2-0

+0.66



Swedish Football
Allsvenskan
Atvidabergs v Elfsborg

BACK Over 2.5 goals

Atvidabergs - 5 of 7 home games have been Over 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 2.29)

Elfsborg - 4 of 7 away games have been Over 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 1.43)

That's a total of 9 of 14 games or 64.3% = 1.56 odds Over 2.5 goals


My Strategy BACK o2.5 goals @ 1.94

Final Score 1-1

-1pts




North American Football
MLS
Toronto FC v Columbus

BACK Over 2.5 goals

Toronto FC - 5 of 9 home games have been Over 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 1.33)

Columbus - 7 of 10 away games have been Over 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 1.30)

That's a total of 12 of 19 games or 63.2% = 1.58 odds Over 2.5 goals


My Strategy BACK o2.5 goals @ 2.28

Final Score 2-1

+1.28pts

Today's Value Bet

Swedish Football
Superettan
Varbergs BoIS v Landskrona

BACK Over 2.5 goals

Varbergs BoIS 13th - 7 of 7 home games have been OVER 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 4.14)

Landskrona 7th - 5 of 6 away games have been OVER 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 3.17)

That's a total of 12 of 13 games or 92.3% = 1.08 odds Over 2.5 goals


My Strategy BACK o2.5 goals @ 1.60

Final Score 2-1

+0.60pts

Today's Value Bet


North American Football
MLS
Los Angeles v Vancouver Whitecaps

BACK Under 2.5 goals

Los Angeles 6th - 6 of 9 home games have been UNDER 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 1.78)

Vancouver Whitecaps 3rd - 5 of 9 away games have been UNDER 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 1.0)

That's a total of 11 of 18 games or 61.1% = 1.64 odds Under 2.5 goals


My Strategy BACK u2.5 goals @ 2.2

Final Score 2-1

-1.0pts

Today's Value Bet

Japanese Football
J League
FC Tokyo v Kofu

LAY Over 3.5 goals

FC Tokyo 8th - 2 of 7 home games have been over 3.5 goals

Kofu 14th - 1 of 8 away games have been over 3.5 goals

That's a total of 3 of 15 games or 20% = 5 odds over 3.5 goals


My Strategy LAY o3.5 goals @ 3.45 and exit Hedge @ 5.0

Final Score 4-1

full loss -2.45 pts




Japanese Football
J League
Sendai v Hiroshima

LAY Over 3.5 goals

Sendai 10th - 0 of 8 home games have been over 3.5 goals

Hiroshima 2nd - 1 of 7 away games have been over 3.5 goals

That's a total of 1 of 15 games or 6.7% = 15 odds over 3.5 goals


My Strategy LAY o3.5 goals @ 3.75 and exit Hedge @ 15.0

Final Score 0-2

+0.75pts

Today's Value Bet

South Korean Football
K League
Pohang Steelers v Suwon Bluewings

LAY Over 3.5 goals

Pohang Steelers 2nd - 2 of 9 home games have been over 3.5 goals

Suwon Bluewings 5th - 2 of 9 away games have been over 3.5 goals

That's a total of 4 of 18 games or 11.8% = 8.5 odds over 3.5 goals


My Strategy LAY o3.5 goals @ 3.35 and exit Hedge @ 8.40


Final score 1-0

+0.60 pts

Today's Value Bet

Swedish Football
Allsvenskan
Fixtures 15 July
Helsingborgs v Osters

LAY Over 3.5 goals

Helsingborgs 4th - 2 of 8 home games have been over 3.5 goals

Osters 13th - 2 of 8 away games have been over 3.5 goals

That's a total of 4 of 16 games or 25% = 4.00 odds over 3.5 goals


My Strategy LAY o3.5 goals @ 2.8 and exit Hedge @ 4.0


Final Score 3-0

1st goal not till 37th min so would have hedged out early

+0.30 pts

Today's Value Bet


Norwegian Football
Tippeligaen
Sarpsborg v Lillestrom

LAY Over 3.5 goals

Sarpsborg 12th - 2 of 7 home games have been over 3.5 goals

Lillestrom 14th - 0 of 7 away games have been over 3.5 goals

That's a total of 2 of 14 games or 14.3% = 7.00 odds over 3.5 goals


My Strategy LAY o3.5 goals @ 2.64 and exit Hedge @ 7.0

Final Score 0-1

+0.62 pts

Norwegian Football
Tippeligaen
Rosenborg v Odd 

LAY Over 3.5 goals

Rosenborg 2nd - 2 of 8 home games have been over 3.5 goals

Odd 11th - 0 of 7 away games have been over 3.5 goals

thats a total of 2 of 15 games or 13.3% = 7.50 odds over 3.5 goals



My Strategy LAY o3.5 goals @ 2.86 and exit Hedge @ 7.5

Final Score 3-2

There were late goals in this match and our exit was met @ 7.4

+0.61 Pts

Today's Value Bet 


Japanese Football
J League
Kashiwa v Kashima

BACK o2.5 & o3.5

Kashiwa Home games this season 7 from 7 have been o2.5 goals and 7 from 6 o3.5 goals.
Kashima Away Games this season 5 from 8 have been o2.5 goals and 5 from 8 o3.5 goals.

In terms of percenatge 

80.0% of games over 2.5 or 1.25 odds
73.3% of games over 3.5 or 1.36 odds

Current Betfair Odds 

o2.5 1.70
o3.5 2.72


My strategy BACK o2.5 @1.70 hedge out 1.25 & BACK o3.5 @ 2.72 hedge out 1.36

final score 2-1

our Exit was not met on either of the bets so we got the full profit on o2.5 but got the full loss on the o3.5

o2.5 +0.7
o3.5 -1.0

Football

Australia U20 v El Salvador U 20

BACK AUST U20 $100 @ 1.40

lost $100
Guangzhou v Shanghai

BACK HT/FT GAUNGZHOU / GAUNGZHOU @ 1.62

lost $100

Football


Spain U20 v Ghana U20

BACK SPAIN U20 $100 @ 1.30

won $30 Profit

France U20 v USA U20

BACK FRANCE U20 $100 @ 1.36

lost $100

HJK v Jaro

BACK HJK $100 @ 1.25

lost $100