Today' Value Bets

Chinese Football - Super League
Liaoning Hongyun v Shanghai Shenhua

BACK Under 2.5 goals

Liaoning Hongyun - 7 of 9 home games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 1.33)
Shanghai Shenhua- 5 of 9 away games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 1.25)

That's a total of 12 of 18 games or 70.6% = 1.42 odds Under 2.5 goals

My Strategy BACK u2.5 goals @ 1.82

Final Score 1-1

+0.82pts

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Chinese Football - Super League
Qingdao Jonoon v Changchun Yatai

BACK Under 2.5 goals

Qingdao Jonoon - 9 of 9 home games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 0.67)
Changchun Yatai- 6 of 8 away games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 0.80)

That's a total of 15 of 18 games or 82.4% = 1.21 odds Under 2.5 goals

My Strategy BACK u2.5 goals @ 1.71

Final Score 1-1

+0.71pts

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Chinese Football - Super League
Wuhan Zall v Guizhou Renhe

BACK Under 2.5 goals

Wuhan Zall - 5 of 8 home games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 1.00)
Guizhou Renhe- 7 of 8 away games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 0.63)

That's a total of 12 of 16 games or 75.0% = 1.33 odds Under 2.5 goals

My Strategy BACK u2.5 goals @ 1.82

Final Score 1-1

+0.82pts

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Japanese Football - J League
Shimizu v FC Tokyo

BACK Over 2.5 goals

Shimizu - 5 of 8 home games have been Over 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 1.13)
FC Tokyo - 8 of 8 away games have been Over 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 1.89)

That's a total of 13 of 16 games or 76.5% = 1.31 odds Over 2.5 goals


My Strategy BACK o2.5 goals @ 1.88

Final Score 0-0

-1pt

Swedish Football
Allsvenskan
Halmstads v Syrianska FC

BACK Under 2.5 goals

Halmstads - 6 of 7 home games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 0.57)

Syrianska FC - 5 of 7 away games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 0.57)

That's a total of 11 of 14 games or 78.6% = 1.27 odds Under 2.5 goals


My Strategy BACK u2.5 goals @ 2.02

Final Score 1-1

+1.02 pts

Today's Value Bet



Finnish Football
Veikkausliiga
FC Inter v KuPS

BACK Under 2.5 goals

FC Inter - 8 of 10 home games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 0.90)

KuPS - 6 of 9 away games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 0.78)

That's a total of 14 of 19 games or 73.7% = 1.36 odds Under 2.5 goals


My Strategy BACK u2.5 goals @ 1.74

Final Score 2-2

-1 pt





Norwegian Football
Tippeligaen
Stromsgodset v Honefoss

BACK Under 2.5 goals

Stromsgodset - 4 of 8 home games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 2.13)

Honefoss - 4 of 8 away games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 1.25)

That's a total of 8 of 16 games or 50% = 2.00 odds Under 2.5 goals


My Strategy BACK u2.5 goals @ 3.00

Final Score 6-1

-1 pt





Swedish Football
Allsvenskan
IFK Goteborg v Helsingborgs

BACK Under 2.5 goals

IFK Goteborg - 6 of 7 home games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 1.71)

Helsingborgs - 5 of 6 away games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 1.67)

That's a total of 11 of 13 games or 84.6% = 1.18 odds Under 2.5 goals


My Strategy BACK u2.5 goals @ 1.82

Final Score 2-4

-1 pt

Today's Value Bet


North American Football
MLS
Houston Dynamo v Chicago Fire

BACK Under 2.5 goals

Houston Dynamo - 8 of 10 home games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 1.00)

Chicago Fire - 4 of 8 away games have been Under 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 0.63)

That's a total of 12 of 18 games or 66.7% = 1.50 odds Under 2.5 goals


My Strategy BACK u2.5 goals @ 1.90

Final Score 1-1

+0.9pts

Today's Value Bet


Finnish Football
Veikkausliiga
HJK Helsinki v JJK

BACK Under 3.5 goals

HJK Helsinki - 9 of 10 home games have been Under 3.5 goals (Avg home goals 1.70)

Jyvaskyla JK - 6 of 10 away games have been Under 3.5 goals (Avg Away goals 0.80)

That's a total of 15 of 20 games or 75% = 1.33 odds Under 3.5 goals


My Strategy BACK u3.5 goals @ 1.66

Final Score 2-0

+0.66



Swedish Football
Allsvenskan
Atvidabergs v Elfsborg

BACK Over 2.5 goals

Atvidabergs - 5 of 7 home games have been Over 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 2.29)

Elfsborg - 4 of 7 away games have been Over 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 1.43)

That's a total of 9 of 14 games or 64.3% = 1.56 odds Over 2.5 goals


My Strategy BACK o2.5 goals @ 1.94

Final Score 1-1

-1pts




North American Football
MLS
Toronto FC v Columbus

BACK Over 2.5 goals

Toronto FC - 5 of 9 home games have been Over 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 1.33)

Columbus - 7 of 10 away games have been Over 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 1.30)

That's a total of 12 of 19 games or 63.2% = 1.58 odds Over 2.5 goals


My Strategy BACK o2.5 goals @ 2.28

Final Score 2-1

+1.28pts

Today's Value Bet

Swedish Football
Superettan
Varbergs BoIS v Landskrona

BACK Over 2.5 goals

Varbergs BoIS 13th - 7 of 7 home games have been OVER 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 4.14)

Landskrona 7th - 5 of 6 away games have been OVER 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 3.17)

That's a total of 12 of 13 games or 92.3% = 1.08 odds Over 2.5 goals


My Strategy BACK o2.5 goals @ 1.60

Final Score 2-1

+0.60pts

Today's Value Bet


North American Football
MLS
Los Angeles v Vancouver Whitecaps

BACK Under 2.5 goals

Los Angeles 6th - 6 of 9 home games have been UNDER 2.5 goals (Avg home goals 1.78)

Vancouver Whitecaps 3rd - 5 of 9 away games have been UNDER 2.5 goals (Avg Away goals 1.0)

That's a total of 11 of 18 games or 61.1% = 1.64 odds Under 2.5 goals


My Strategy BACK u2.5 goals @ 2.2

Final Score 2-1

-1.0pts

Today's Value Bet

Japanese Football
J League
FC Tokyo v Kofu

LAY Over 3.5 goals

FC Tokyo 8th - 2 of 7 home games have been over 3.5 goals

Kofu 14th - 1 of 8 away games have been over 3.5 goals

That's a total of 3 of 15 games or 20% = 5 odds over 3.5 goals


My Strategy LAY o3.5 goals @ 3.45 and exit Hedge @ 5.0

Final Score 4-1

full loss -2.45 pts




Japanese Football
J League
Sendai v Hiroshima

LAY Over 3.5 goals

Sendai 10th - 0 of 8 home games have been over 3.5 goals

Hiroshima 2nd - 1 of 7 away games have been over 3.5 goals

That's a total of 1 of 15 games or 6.7% = 15 odds over 3.5 goals


My Strategy LAY o3.5 goals @ 3.75 and exit Hedge @ 15.0

Final Score 0-2

+0.75pts

Today's Value Bet

South Korean Football
K League
Pohang Steelers v Suwon Bluewings

LAY Over 3.5 goals

Pohang Steelers 2nd - 2 of 9 home games have been over 3.5 goals

Suwon Bluewings 5th - 2 of 9 away games have been over 3.5 goals

That's a total of 4 of 18 games or 11.8% = 8.5 odds over 3.5 goals


My Strategy LAY o3.5 goals @ 3.35 and exit Hedge @ 8.40


Final score 1-0

+0.60 pts

Today's Value Bet

Swedish Football
Allsvenskan
Fixtures 15 July
Helsingborgs v Osters

LAY Over 3.5 goals

Helsingborgs 4th - 2 of 8 home games have been over 3.5 goals

Osters 13th - 2 of 8 away games have been over 3.5 goals

That's a total of 4 of 16 games or 25% = 4.00 odds over 3.5 goals


My Strategy LAY o3.5 goals @ 2.8 and exit Hedge @ 4.0


Final Score 3-0

1st goal not till 37th min so would have hedged out early

+0.30 pts

Today's Value Bet


Norwegian Football
Tippeligaen
Sarpsborg v Lillestrom

LAY Over 3.5 goals

Sarpsborg 12th - 2 of 7 home games have been over 3.5 goals

Lillestrom 14th - 0 of 7 away games have been over 3.5 goals

That's a total of 2 of 14 games or 14.3% = 7.00 odds over 3.5 goals


My Strategy LAY o3.5 goals @ 2.64 and exit Hedge @ 7.0

Final Score 0-1

+0.62 pts

Norwegian Football
Tippeligaen
Rosenborg v Odd 

LAY Over 3.5 goals

Rosenborg 2nd - 2 of 8 home games have been over 3.5 goals

Odd 11th - 0 of 7 away games have been over 3.5 goals

thats a total of 2 of 15 games or 13.3% = 7.50 odds over 3.5 goals



My Strategy LAY o3.5 goals @ 2.86 and exit Hedge @ 7.5

Final Score 3-2

There were late goals in this match and our exit was met @ 7.4

+0.61 Pts

Today's Value Bet 


Japanese Football
J League
Kashiwa v Kashima

BACK o2.5 & o3.5

Kashiwa Home games this season 7 from 7 have been o2.5 goals and 7 from 6 o3.5 goals.
Kashima Away Games this season 5 from 8 have been o2.5 goals and 5 from 8 o3.5 goals.

In terms of percenatge 

80.0% of games over 2.5 or 1.25 odds
73.3% of games over 3.5 or 1.36 odds

Current Betfair Odds 

o2.5 1.70
o3.5 2.72


My strategy BACK o2.5 @1.70 hedge out 1.25 & BACK o3.5 @ 2.72 hedge out 1.36

final score 2-1

our Exit was not met on either of the bets so we got the full profit on o2.5 but got the full loss on the o3.5

o2.5 +0.7
o3.5 -1.0