Betfair Trading Software

Sunday, June 9, 2013

Canadian F1 GP

Qualifying had been completed with Sebastian Vettel (Red Bull) on Pole and Lewis Hamilton (Mercedes) in Grid Poistion #2.

The stats say that Pole position has won 10 from the last 24 GP's which is 41.6% or odds of about 2.20. Vettel is 1.94 on Betfair so this does not represent any value.

Podium finish from Pole is 14 from 24 58.3% or odds of 1.73 and again Vettel is under the odds at 1.32.

So I won't be doing anything with Vettel, and that leaves us with Lewis Hamilton on Grid #2.

Grid #2 has won 5 of 24 GP's here @ 20.8% or odds of 5.0 and a Podium finish 12 of 24 @ 50% or odds of 2.0.

Hamilton's odds of 7.6 (win) and 2.76 (podium) gives us some value. 

Another stat in Hamilton's favour is that he is a 3 time winner in Canada and Mercedes has won 5 of the past 7 GP's.

Therefore Lewis Hamilton is my selection for $100

BACK Hamilton to WIN 25 @ 7.6
and
BACK Hamilton for PODIUM FINISH 75 @ 2.76


edit post - Hamilton 3rd, profit $107



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