Betfair Trading Software

Tuesday, June 25, 2013

Football

Australia U20 v El Salvador U 20

BACK AUST U20 $100 @ 1.40

lost $100
Guangzhou v Shanghai

BACK HT/FT GAUNGZHOU / GAUNGZHOU @ 1.62

lost $100

Monday, June 24, 2013

Football


Spain U20 v Ghana U20

BACK SPAIN U20 $100 @ 1.30

won $30 Profit

France U20 v USA U20

BACK FRANCE U20 $100 @ 1.36

lost $100

HJK v Jaro

BACK HJK $100 @ 1.25

lost $100

Sunday, June 23, 2013

Football


Barcelona Guayaquil v Liga de Loja 

BACK BARCELONA G. $100 @ 1.33

won $33 profit


England U20 v Iraq U20


BACK ENGLAND U20 $100 @ 1.53

lost $100

Uruguay v Tahiti 


BACK BTTS NO @ 1.28

won $28 profit


Nigeria v Spain

BACK SPAIN $100 @ 1.29

won $29 profit
AFL

Fremantle v North Melbourne

BACK FREMANTLE $100 @ 1.32

won $32 profit


Brisbane v Geelong

BACK GEELONG -5.5 $100 @ 1.30

lost -$100

Saturday, June 22, 2013

Football

World Cup U20

Turkey U20 v El Salvador U20

BACK TURKEY U20 $100 @ 1.20

won $20 profit
Rugby

New Zealand v France

Back NZ -10.5 $100 @ 1.26

won $26 profit
AFL

Port Adelaide v Sydney

Back Sydney -12.5 $100 @ 1.25

lost -$100

St KIlda v Melbourne


Back St Kilda -14.5 $100 @ 1.25

won $25 profit


West Bulldogs v Richmond


Back Richmond -13.5 $100 @ 1.25

won $25 profit

Friday, June 21, 2013

AFL

Hawthorn v West Coast

BACK HAWTHORN -8.5 pts $100 @ 1.31

won $31 profit

Tuesday, June 18, 2013

Football

Australia v Iraq

BACK AUSTRALIA $100 @ 1.22

won $22 profit

Spain U21 v Italy U21

BACK SPAIN U21 $100 @ 1.75

won $75 profit 

Basketball

Miami Heat v San Antonio Spurs (game 6)

BACK MIAMI $100 @ 1.33

won $33 profit

Sunday, June 16, 2013

AFL

Collingwood v Western Buldogs

PICK YOUR OWN LINE
BACK COLLINGWOOD -11.5 pts $100 @ 1.27 (IASBet)

won $27 profit

NRL

Melbourne v Newcastle

PICK YOUR OWN LINE
BACK MELBOURNE -5.5 pts $100 @ 1.39 (IASBet)

lost -$100

TENNIS

AEGON Champioships

Andy Murray v Marin Cilic

BACK MURRAY $100 @ 1.20

won $20 profit

Saturday, June 15, 2013

TENNIS

AEGON Championships 2013 (Queens)

Andy Murray v Jo Wilfred Tsonga

BACK ANDY MURRAY $100 @ 1.53


Football

U21 Euro Champioship

Spain U21 v Norway U21

BACK SPAIN $100 @1.37


edit post 
Murray WON (4-6, 6-3, 6-2) profit $53
Spain WON (3-0) profit $37


Sunday, June 9, 2013

Canadian F1 GP

Qualifying had been completed with Sebastian Vettel (Red Bull) on Pole and Lewis Hamilton (Mercedes) in Grid Poistion #2.

The stats say that Pole position has won 10 from the last 24 GP's which is 41.6% or odds of about 2.20. Vettel is 1.94 on Betfair so this does not represent any value.

Podium finish from Pole is 14 from 24 58.3% or odds of 1.73 and again Vettel is under the odds at 1.32.

So I won't be doing anything with Vettel, and that leaves us with Lewis Hamilton on Grid #2.

Grid #2 has won 5 of 24 GP's here @ 20.8% or odds of 5.0 and a Podium finish 12 of 24 @ 50% or odds of 2.0.

Hamilton's odds of 7.6 (win) and 2.76 (podium) gives us some value. 

Another stat in Hamilton's favour is that he is a 3 time winner in Canada and Mercedes has won 5 of the past 7 GP's.

Therefore Lewis Hamilton is my selection for $100

BACK Hamilton to WIN 25 @ 7.6
and
BACK Hamilton for PODIUM FINISH 75 @ 2.76


edit post - Hamilton 3rd, profit $107



Saturday, June 8, 2013

Canadian F1 GP

Stats for the past 25 years shows 2009 was not held, so for the last 24 years


  • 10 wins from Grid #1 41.6%
  • 15 wins from front row of grid (positions 1 & 2) 62.5%
  • 14 Podium finishes from Grid #1 58.3%
  • 12 Podium finishes from Grid #2 50.0%
  • 26 Podium finishes from Grid #1 & #2 54.2%


YEAR # Driver Constructor Grid
2012 4  Lewis Hamilton McLaren-Mercedes 2
2011 4  Jenson Button McLaren-Mercedes 7
2010 2  Lewis Hamilton McLaren-Mercedes 1
2009 NOT HELD
2008 4  Robert Kubica BMW Sauber 2
2007 2  Lewis Hamilton McLaren-Mercedes 1
2006 1 Fernando Alonso Renault 1
2005 9  Kimi Räikkönen McLaren-Mercedes 7
2004 1  Michael Schumacher Ferrari 6
2003 1  Michael Schumacher Ferrari 3
2002 1  Michael Schumacher Ferrari 2
2001 5  Ralf Schumacher Williams-BMW 2
2000 3  Michael Schumacher Ferrari 1
1999 1  Mika Häkkinen McLaren-Mercedes 2
1998 3  Michael Schumacher Ferrari 3
1997 5  Michael Schumacher Ferrari 1
1996 5  Damon Hill Williams-Renault 1
1995 27  Jean Alesi Ferrari 5
1994 5  Michael Schumacher Benetton-Ford 1
1993 2  Alain Prost Williams-Renault 1
1992 2  Gerhard Berger McLaren-Honda 4
1991 20  Nelson Piquet Benetton-Ford 8
1990 27  Ayrton Senna McLaren-Honda 1
1989 5  Thierry Boutsen Williams-Renault 6
1988 12  Ayrton Senna McLaren-Honda 1



Sunday, May 26, 2013

Monaco F1 GP

Qualifying has been completed and we have our top 3 

Pos No Driver Team Q1 Q2 Q3 Laps
1 9 Nico Rosberg Mercedes 01:24.6 01:16.1 01:13.9 31
2 10 Lewis Hamilton Mercedes 01:23.8 01:16.3 01:14.0 31
3 1 Sebastian Vettel Red Bull Racing-Renault 01:24.2 01:16.0 01:14.0 29

Current Points Table

As of: Spanish Grand Prix +/- Points Behind Wins
1  Sebastian Vettel - Red Bull 89 2
2  Kimi Raikkonen - Lotus 85 4 1
3  Fernando Alonso - Ferrari 1 72 17 2
4  Lewis Hamilton - Mercedes -1 50 39 0
5  Felipe Massa - Ferrari 1 45 44 0
6  Mark Webber - Red Bull -1 42 47 0
7  Romain Grosjean - Lotus 26 63 0
8  Paul di Resta - Force India 26 63 0
9  Nico Rosberg - Mercedes 22 67 0
10  Jenson Button - McLaren 17 72 0

As previously written, 8 of the past 9 winners of the Monaco GP have come from POLE POSITION, based on stats this give us NICO ROSBERG as our winner.

But looking at current standings we have Rosberg's in 9th place on 22 pts, and his Mercedes team mate Lewis Hamilton on position #2 on the grid and in 4th place on 50pts on the current F1 points table.

Although Rosberg is on Pole, will we see team orders for Hamilton to take the lead and go on to win, giving him valuable points to keep in touch with Vettel and Raikkonen.

With the top 3 grid position winning 27 of the last 30 Monaco GP's inc the last 16 straight.

Based on this, my tip is LEWIS HAMILTON.

But for betting I will Dutch bet ROSBERG, HAMILTON and VETTEL having Rosberg as a break even saver.


For $100 bet

$41 @ 2.46 on Rosberg profit $0.86
$30 @ 4.70 on Hamilton profit $41.28
$29 @ 5.00 on Vettel profit $45.53

Good Luck





Saturday, May 25, 2013

Monaco GP - Stats

8 of the last 9 GP's won from Pole Position

16 of the last 16 GP's won from top 3 Grid Positions
27 of the last 30 GP's won from top 3 Grid Positions

15 of the last 30 GP's won from Pole Position
12 of the last 30 GP's won from Grid Position 2 or 3
3  of the last 30 GP's won from outside #3 Grid Position ('96, '85, '83)

Year Pos # Driver Constructor Grid Pos
2012 1 2  Mark Webber Red Bull-Renault 1
2011 1 1  Sebastian Vettel Red Bull-Renault 1
2010 1 6  Mark Webber Red Bull-Renault 1
2009 1 22  Jenson Button Brawn-Mercedes 1
2008 1 22  Lewis Hamilton McLaren-Mercedes 3
2007 1 1  Fernando Alonso McLaren-Mercedes 1
2006 1 1  Fernando Alonso Renault 1
2005 1 9  Kimi Räikkönen McLaren-Mercedes 1
2004 1 7  Jarno Trulli Renault 1
2003 1 3  Juan Pablo Montoya Williams-BMW 3
2002 1 3  David Coulthard McLaren-Mercedes 2
2001 1 1  Michael Schumacher Ferrari 2
2000 1 2  David Coulthard McLaren-Mercedes 3
1999 1 3  Michael Schumacher Ferrari 2
1998 1 8  Mika Häkkinen McLaren-Mercedes 1
1997 1 5  Michael Schumacher Ferrari 2
1996 1 9  Olivier Panis Ligier-Mugen-Honda 14
1995 1 1  Michael Schumacher Benetton-Renault 2
1994 1 5  Michael Schumacher Benetton-Ford 1
1993 1 8  Ayrton Senna McLaren-Ford 3
1992 1 1  Ayrton Senna McLaren-Honda 3
1991 1 1  Ayrton Senna McLaren-Honda 1
1990 1 27  Ayrton Senna McLaren-Honda 1
1989 1 1  Ayrton Senna McLaren-Honda 1
1988 1 11  Alain Prost McLaren-Honda 2
1987 1 12  Ayrton Senna Lotus-Honda 2
1986 1 1  Alain Prost McLaren-TAG 1
1985 1 2  Alain Prost McLaren-TAG 5
1984 1 7  Alain Prost McLaren-TAG 1
1983 1 1  Keke Rosberg Williams-Ford 5
stats source - wikipedia