Back Under 2.5 goals


Nice profit from Sunday's selections getting 4 from 6


ENGLAND - Conference Premier
(League avg 49% Under 2.5)

Dover Athletic v Aldershot Town @ 1.85 betfair

A total of 83% of Dover's home games and Aldershot's away games have resulted in under 2.5 goals.



I also like BACK Over 0.5 First Half or Lay 0-0 HT (same bet), depends on liquidity as to which market you bet in.

AFC Telford United v Chester 
Back Over 0.5 First Half Goals @ 1.5
or 
LAY 0-0 Half Time Score @ 3.0

Keep bet in play wait till matched

There have been plenty of goals in the games these 2 teams have played this season.
83% of Telfords home games and Chester's Away games have resulted in over 2.5 goals so this is another good opportunity to cash up



I won't be near my PC at kick off so I will be using BetBotPro to place my bet so I get the most up to date price.

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Back Under 2.5 goals is back

After a short lay off, I am back with my selections for Under 2.5 goals


FINLAND - Veikkausliiga
(League avg 55% u2.5)

Honka v SJK @ 1.91 betfair
Jaro v Lahti @ 1.96


BRAZIL - Serie A 
(League avg 65% u2.5)

Santos v Goiás @ 1.88
Atlético PR v Corinthians @ 1.54
Bahia v Flamengo @ 1.52
Botafogo v Grêmio @ 1.53



Don't miss getting your bets on and use BetBotPro where you can also setup various staking plans.

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Saturday Results

13:35 Caulfield R3 10 Ryker -- BF SP 8.04 Bet WON

14:00 Doomben R4 10 More Than Money  -- BF SP 21 Bet Won

14:55 Morphetteville R3 4 Jesse 'n' James -- BF SP 14.99 Bet Won

15:05 Randwick R5 2 Bagman -- BF SP 9.38 Bet Won

15:25 Caulfield R6 4 Our Vodoo Prince -- BF SP 7.8 Bet Won

15:35 Morphetteville R5 7 Azzcool -- BF SP 9.6 Bet Won

15:53 Doomben R7 11 Final Crescendo -- BF SP 6.4 BET LOST

16:25 Randwick R7 8 Maysoon -- BF SP 4.7 Bet Won

16:53 Doomben R8 7 Thirsty For Blood -- BF SP 32 bet Won

17:15 Caulfield R9 5 Trust in a Gust -- BF SP 2.01 Bet Lost

total bets 10

won 8

Lost 2

80% S/R

-0.81 pts

Saturday LAYS

13:35 Caulfield R3 10 Ryker

14:00 Doomben R4 10 More Than Money 

14:55 Morphetteville R4 3 Jesse 'n' James

15:05 Randwick R5 2 Bagman

15:25 Caulfield R6 4 Our Vodoo Prince

15:35 Morphetteville R5 7 Azzcool

15:53 Doomben R7 11 Final Crescendo

16:25 Randwick R7 8 Maysoon

16:53 Doomben R8 7 Thirsty For Blood

17:15 Caulfield R9 5 Trust in a Gust



 Friday's Results

14:48 Bathurst R4 9 Martindale Road -- Betfair SP 6.03 BET WON

15:05 Arrat R4 2 Barcode -- Betfair SP 4.47 BET LOST

15:23 Bathurst R5 1 King Derota -- Betfair SP 4.26 BET LOST

15:50 Grafton R6 1 Image Hunter -- Betfair SP 5.13 BET LOST

16:20 Arrat R6 12 Antartic Missile -- Betfair SP 3.66 BET WON

that didnt work out so well

bets 5
wins 2
lost 3
s/r 40%
P&L -11.96 pts


Don't miss getting your bets on and use BetBotPro where you can also setup various staking plans.

Dags Friday LAYS


14:48 Bathurst R4 9 Martindale Road

15:05 Arrat R4 2 Barcode

15:23 Bathurst R5 1 King Derota

15:50 Grafton R6 1 Image Hunter

16:20 Arrat R6 12 Antartic Missile


Don't miss getting your bets on and use BetBotPro where you can also setup various staking plans.

Hey Guys

Going to go back to what this blog was started for and that is laying. I have been posting my Saturday selections on RacingTraders forum for some years now, my selections are always Favourites, although i do win quite a few I can see some merit in laying these selections with the right loss recovery strategy using LAYBOTPRO.

Here we go

Aus Racing

Doomben
R6 2 BRAZEN BEAU @ 2.30

Randwick
R1 2 ALMALAD @ 2.3
R3 5 KATIE'S COVE @ 1.95
R5 3 AVOID LIGHTNING @ 2.80

Flemington 
R3 8 I'M FEARSOME @ 3.00

I will update later with BF SP odds after race completion.

Now the European football season is over, I am in the process of completing a score scraper for the Summer Leagues, so I can continue the amazing Under 2.5 selections.


Also I will be redesigning the footyValue.com site to a full selection site offering selections for:-

• MLB
• NBA
• NFL
• NRL
• RUGBY 
• Basketball
• Under 2.5 goals

My current strike rate is over 63% and 150 points profit since October 2013, so I am looking forward to that.

Thanks for following.

Dags

Back Under 2.5 and 0-0 HT

Last nights selection in the French Ligue 2 of Arles v Nancy had us losing both our bets in injury time.

The BACK 0-0Ht goal was scored in the 45+1' whist the 2nd and 3rd goals for our U2.5 bet came in the 86th and 91st minutes.

Following our analysis of the U2.5 selections we have started Backing the same game in the Half Time Score Market 0-0.

As previously mentioned the U2.5's had achieved a s/r of 46% 0-0 at half time, so it was just a matter of time to start backing that result.

So far since 5th Feb, we have won 15 of 37 selections s/r 41% with 3.32 points profit, thanks to a run of 5 winners from last 7 games. Of the losers 5 games had the first goal after the 40th minute and 3 of those 5 came in injury time.

Average time of first goal is 26 minutes, so there is an advantage for those that prefer to trade out earlier.

We have another 6 selections tonight including 1 game in Russia which resumes after the winter lay off.

Get all selections at footyVALUE.com, just signup and login, its free.

Good Luck

Dags

Back Under 2.5 --- 25.18 points profit to date



2 more selections today 28/2/14

17:30 GMT	German	Bundesliga 2	Paderborn	Bochum	1.91
19:00 GMT	French	Ligue 2 Orange	Brest	Laval	1.68

Also if you like these selections try Backing 0-0Ht and trade out after 20 minutes

5/2/2014	Portuguese	Primeira Liga	Pacos Ferreira	Olhanense	45
7/2/2014	French	Ligue 1 Orange	Toulouse	St Etienne
7/2/2014	Italian	Serie B	Virtus Lanciano	Cesena	33
8/2/2014	English	Championship	Blackpool	Nott'm Forest	45
8/2/2014	Scottish	Championship	Queen of Sth	Falkirk
8/2/2014	Portuguese	Primeira Liga	Setubal	Guimaraes	5
9/2/2014	Greek	Super League	Atromitos	Asteras Tripolis	22
10/2/2014	Greek	Super League	Aris	Panionios
11/2/2014	English	League Two	Torquay	Northampton	10
12/2/2014	English	Premier League	Stoke	Swansea	17
15/02/2014	French	Ligue 2 Orange	Angers	Laval	22
15/02/2014	French	Ligue 2 Orange	Brest	Auxerre	33
15/02/2014	Portuguese	Primeira Liga	Belenenses	Academica
15/02/2014	French	Ligue 1 Orange	Sochaux	Guingamp
16/02/2014	Greek	Super League	Aris	Veria
16/02/2014	Portuguese	Primeira Liga	Guimaraes	Rio Ave	9
22/02/2014	Greek	Super League	Levadeiakos	Asteras Tripolis	7
22/02/2014	Italian	Serie B	Carpi	Cesena	29
22/02/2014	Italian	Serie B	Virtus Lanciano	Latina
22/02/2014	English	Championship	Blackpool	Birmingham	22
22/02/2014	English	Championship	Charlton	QPR
22/02/2014	English	League Two	York	Southend
22/02/2014	Greek	Super League	OFI	Olympiakos	39
22/02/2014	Spanish	Segunda Division	Las Palmas	Girona
23/02/2014	Spanish	Segunda Division	Alcorcon	La Coruna	11
23/02/2014	Italian	Serie A	Inter	Cagliari	40
25/02/2014	English	League Two	Scunthorpe	Bristol Rvs	22

Currently showing a 36% s/r to end 0-0ht, is a slight loss.

Trading out at 20 minutes shows 22 of 28 (78.5%) winning trades and profits about 40% per trade.

Average time of 1st goal when a goal is scored is 25 minutes.

Just some ideas good luck

Dags

Time to update footyVALUE.com 

Back Under 2.5 Goals results.

136	GAMES
92	WON
68%	S/R
1.79	AVERAGE
26.67	PROFIT
u2.5 Monthly Points Profit
8.47	Oct 2013
2.50	Nov
7.00	Dec
5.52	Jan 2014
3.18	Feb

Level staking produced 26.67 points profit at $50 stakes is $1,333.50 profit not to bad for 4 months work.
Selections have been in profit every month.

I have also evaluated a staking plan betting 5% of end of day bank on a $1k starting balance.

Profits are a lot better 

							Profit	2,325.52
							Balance	3,325.52
						Bet %	Win / Loss	BANK
Date	Home	Away	BF	W/L	Cumm.	5%		1,000.00
6/10/2013	Sevastopol	Illitchivets Mariupo	1.69	W	0.69	50.00	34.50	1,034.50
10/10/2013	Cruzeiro	Sao Paulo	1.93	W	1.62	51.73	48.10	1,082.60
10/10/2013	San Jose E'quakes	Colorado Rapids	1.77	W	2.39	51.73	39.83	1,122.43
12/10/2013	Chester	Cambridge	1.83	W	3.22	56.12	46.58	1,169.01
12/10/2013	Lincoln	Aldershot	1.87	W	4.09	56.12	48.83	1,217.84
13/10/2013	Sao Paulo	Corinthians	1.58	W	4.67	60.89	35.32	1,253.16
17/10/2013	Gremio	Corinthians	1.48	W	5.15	62.66	30.08	1,283.23
20/10/2013	Puebla	Atlas	1.69	W	5.84	64.16	44.27	1,327.50
22/10/2013	Shrewsbury	Colchester	1.94	W	6.78	66.38	62.39	1,389.90
22/10/2013	Bury	Mansfield	1.84	W	7.62	66.38	55.76	1,445.65
22/10/2013	Hartlepool	AFC Wimbledon	1.95	L	6.62	66.38	-66.38	1,379.28
22/10/2013	Plymouth	Newport County	1.91	W	7.53	66.38	60.40	1,439.68
26/10/2013	Bolton	Ipswich	1.94	W	8.47	71.98	67.66	1,507.34
1/11/2013	Southend	Mansfield	1.76	L	7.47	75.37	-75.37	1,431.98
2/11/2013	Doncaster	Brighton	1.75	L	6.47	71.60	-71.60	1,360.38
2/11/2013	Chester	Aldershot	1.79	W	7.26	71.60	56.56	1,416.94
2/11/2013	Shrewsbury	Sheffield United	1.75	W	8.01	71.60	53.70	1,470.64
2/11/2013	Oxford	Bristol Rvs	1.88	W	8.89	71.60	63.01	1,533.65
2/11/2013	Plymouth	Northampton	1.78	W	9.67	71.60	55.85	1,589.49
9/11/2013	Reading	QPR	1.83	W	10.50	79.47	65.96	1,655.46
9/11/2013	Blackpool	Ipswich	1.76	L	9.50	79.47	-79.47	1,575.98
9/11/2013	Paris SG	Nice	2.40	L	8.50	79.47	-79.47	1,496.51
9/11/2013	Alcorcon	Cordoba	1.74	W	9.24	79.47	58.81	1,555.32
9/11/2013	Cercle Brugge	Kortrijk	1.84	L	8.24	79.47	-79.47	1,475.84
10/11/2013	Pachuca	Queretaro FC	1.79	W	9.03	73.79	58.30	1,534.14
10/11/2013	Tenerife	Eibar	1.67	W	9.70	73.79	49.44	1,583.58
12/11/2013	Cambridge	Aldershot	1.87	L	8.70	79.18	-79.18	1,504.40
16/11/2013	Barnet	Cambridge	1.73	L	7.70	75.22	-75.22	1,429.18
17/11/2013	Latina	Bari	1.57	W	8.27	71.46	40.73	1,469.91
17/11/2013	Eibar	Real Madrid B	1.94	L	7.27	71.46	-71.46	1,398.45
22/11/2013	Angers	Clermont	1.64	W	7.91	69.92	44.75	1,443.20
22/11/2013	Ajaccio	Marseille	1.70	L	6.91	69.92	-69.92	1,373.28
23/11/2013	Amkar Perm	Kuban Krasnodar	1.75	L	5.91	68.66	-68.66	1,304.62
23/11/2013	Virtus Lanciano	Varese	1.70	W	6.61	68.66	48.06	1,352.68
23/11/2013	Montpellier	Guingamp	1.70	W	7.31	68.66	48.06	1,400.75
23/11/2013	Milan	Genoa	1.90	W	8.21	68.66	61.80	1,462.55
24/11/2013	Dynamo Kyiv	Hoverla Uzhhorod	2.24	L	7.21	73.13	-73.13	1,389.42
24/11/2013	Ponferradina	La Coruna	1.71	W	7.92	73.13	51.92	1,441.34
24/11/2013	Ponte Preta	Gremio	1.65	W	8.57	73.13	47.53	1,488.87
24/11/2013	Alcorcon	Murcia	1.70	W	9.27	73.13	51.19	1,540.06
26/11/2013	Chesterfield	Northampton	2.02	W	10.29	77.00	78.54	1,618.60
29/11/2013	Arles	CA Bastia	1.68	W	10.97	80.93	55.03	1,673.64
13/12/2013	Aalen	Sandhausen	2.04	W	12.01	83.68	87.03	1,760.67
14/12/2013	Shrewsbury	Walsall	1.72	W	12.73	88.03	63.38	1,824.05
14/12/2013	Angers	Lens	1.66	L	11.73	88.03	-88.03	1,736.02
14/12/2013	Blackpool	QPR	1.71	W	12.44	88.03	62.50	1,798.52
14/12/2013	Bury	Northampton	1.76	W	13.20	88.03	66.91	1,865.42
14/12/2013	Chesterfield	Plymouth	1.73	W	13.93	88.03	64.26	1,929.69
14/12/2013	Kayserispor	Eskisehirspor	1.77	W	14.70	88.03	67.79	1,997.47
14/12/2013	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	Oostende	1.90	L	13.70	88.03	-88.03	1,909.44
14/12/2013	Las Palmas	Real Madrid B	2.02	W	14.72	88.03	89.79	1,999.24
15/12/2013	Eibar	La Coruna	1.68	L	13.72	99.96	-99.96	1,899.27
15/12/2013	Virtus Lanciano	Pescara	1.75	W	14.47	99.96	74.97	1,974.24
15/12/2013	Lyon	Marseille	1.67	L	13.47	99.96	-99.96	1,874.28
16/12/2013	Milan	Roma	1.87	L	12.47	93.71	-93.71	1,780.57
20/12/2013	Nancy	Laval	1.70	L	11.47	89.03	-89.03	1,691.54
20/12/2013	Clermont	CA Bastia	1.74	W	12.21	89.03	65.88	1,757.42
20/12/2013	Porto	Olhanense	3.30	L	11.21	89.03	-89.03	1,668.39
21/12/2013	OFI	Panetolikos	1.57	L	10.21	83.42	-83.42	1,584.97
21/12/2013	Carpi	Palermo	1.68	W	10.89	83.42	56.73	1,641.70
21/12/2013	Cittadella	Bari	1.66	W	11.55	83.42	55.06	1,696.76
21/12/2013	Hereford	Cambridge	1.90	W	12.45	83.42	75.08	1,771.83
21/12/2013	Morton	Falkirk	2.22	W	13.67	83.42	101.77	1,873.61
21/12/2013	Hibernian	St Johnstone	1.69	W	14.36	83.42	57.56	1,931.16
21/12/2013	Pacos Ferreira	Rio Ave	1.68	W	15.04	83.42	56.73	1,987.89
21/12/2013	Guimaraes	Academica	1.65	L	14.04	83.42	-83.42	1,904.47
21/12/2013	Sochaux	Rennes	1.75	L	13.04	83.42	-83.42	1,821.05
21/12/2013	Toulouse	Guingamp	1.67	W	13.71	83.42	55.89	1,876.94
26/12/2013	Charlton	Brighton	1.68	L	12.71	93.85	-93.85	1,783.10
26/12/2013	Torquay	Bristol Rvs	1.81	W	13.52	93.85	76.02	1,859.11
26/12/2013	Virtus Lanciano	Carpi	1.71	L	12.52	93.85	-93.85	1,765.26
26/12/2013	Latina	Cesena	1.60	W	13.12	93.85	56.31	1,821.57
26/12/2013	Blackburn	Sheffield Weds	1.84	W	13.96	93.85	78.83	1,900.40
26/12/2013	Shrewsbury	Tranmere	1.78	W	14.74	93.85	73.20	1,973.60
26/12/2013	Burton	Northampton	1.79	W	15.53	93.85	74.14	2,047.74
26/12/2013	Club Brugge	Waasland-Beveren	2.48	L	14.53	93.85	-93.85	1,953.90
26/12/2013	Nott'm Forest	QPR	1.70	W	15.23	93.85	65.69	2,019.59
28/12/2013	Aston Villa	Swansea	1.78	W	16.01	100.98	78.76	2,098.35
29/12/2013	Blackpool	Brighton	1.71	W	16.72	104.92	74.49	2,172.85
29/12/2013	Charlton	Sheffield Weds	1.76	W	17.48	104.92	79.74	2,252.58
29/12/2013	Shrewsbury	Preston	1.82	W	18.30	104.92	86.03	2,338.62
29/12/2013	Burton	Newport County	1.67	W	18.97	104.92	70.29	2,408.91
29/12/2013	Partick	Motherwell	1.87	L	17.97	104.92	-104.92	2,303.99
1/1/2014	Walsall	Sheffield United	1.67	L	16.97	115.20	-115.20	2,188.79
1/1/2014	Dag and Red	AFC Wimbledon	1.97	W	17.94	115.20	111.74	2,300.54
2/1/2014	Hibernian	Hearts	1.77	L	16.94	115.03	-115.03	2,185.51
4/1/2014	Giannina	Asteras Tripolis	1.63	W	17.57	109.28	68.84	2,254.35
10/1/2014	Auxerre	Arles	1.64	W	18.21	112.72	72.14	2,326.49
10/1/2014	Montpellier	Monaco	1.70	W	18.91	112.72	78.90	2,405.39
11/1/2014	Wolves	Preston	2.14	W	20.05	120.27	137.11	2,542.50
11/1/2014	Burton	Cheltenham	1.80	L	19.05	120.27	-120.27	2,422.23
11/1/2014	Dag and Red	Fleetwood Town	1.82	W	19.87	120.27	98.62	2,520.85
11/1/2014	Plymouth	Southend	1.67	W	20.54	120.27	80.58	2,601.43
11/1/2014	Queen of Sth	Alloa	2.00	L	19.54	120.27	-120.27	2,481.16
11/1/2014	Man United	Swansea	2.12	W	20.66	120.27	134.70	2,615.87
17/01/2014	Nancy	CA Bastia	1.90	W	21.56	130.79	117.71	2,733.58
18/01/2014	York	Bristol Rvs	1.84	W	22.40	136.68	114.81	2,848.39
18/01/2014	Aberdeen	Inverness C	1.80	W	23.20	136.68	109.34	2,957.73
19/01/2014	Toulouse	Monaco	1.77	W	23.97	147.89	113.87	3,071.61
19/01/2014	Numancia	Lugo	1.68	W	24.65	147.89	100.56	3,172.17
21/01/2014	Tamworth	Cambridge	1.66	W	25.31	158.61	104.68	3,276.85
25/01/2014	Carpi	Ternana	1.67	L	24.31	163.84	-163.84	3,113.01
25/01/2014	Virtus Lanciano	Brescia	1.72	W	25.03	163.84	117.97	3,230.98
25/01/2014	Latina	Empoli	1.65	L	24.03	163.84	-163.84	3,067.13
25/01/2014	Bursaspor	Eskisehirspor	1.79	L	23.03	163.84	-163.84	2,903.29
25/01/2014	Wolves	Bristol City	1.98	L	22.03	163.84	-163.84	2,739.45
25/01/2014	Burton	Fleetwood Town	1.76	L	21.03	163.84	-163.84	2,575.61
25/01/2014	Cordoba	La Coruna	1.70	W	21.73	163.84	114.69	2,690.30
25/01/2014	Montpellier	Nice	1.68	L	20.73	163.84	-163.84	2,526.45
26/01/2014	Alcorcon	Real Madrid B	1.93	W	21.66	126.32	117.48	2,643.93
27/01/2014	Auxerre	Lens	1.77	L	20.66	132.20	-132.20	2,511.74
27/01/2014	Scunthorpe	Fleetwood Town	1.85	W	21.51	132.20	112.37	2,624.10
28/01/2014	Crystal Palace	Hull	1.58	W	22.09	131.21	76.10	2,700.20
31/01/2014	Angers	CA Bastia	1.90	W	22.99	135.01	121.51	2,821.71
31/01/2014	Clermont	Arles	1.50	W	23.49	135.01	67.51	2,889.22
1/2/2014	Chesterfield	Bristol Rvs	1.86	L	22.49	144.46	-144.46	2,744.76
1/2/2014	Plymouth	Mansfield	1.77	W	23.26	144.46	111.23	2,855.99
1/2/2014	Bastia	Guingamp	1.65	L	22.26	144.46	-144.46	2,711.53
2/2/2014	Arsenal	Crystal Palace	2.36	W	23.62	135.58	184.38	2,895.91
2/2/2014	Belenenses	Sp Braga	1.72	L	22.62	135.58	-135.58	2,760.34
5/2/2014	Pacos Ferreira	Olhanense	1.75	L	21.62	138.02	-138.02	2,622.32
7/2/2014	Toulouse	St Etienne	1.64	W	22.26	131.12	83.91	2,706.23
7/2/2014	Virtus Lanciano	Cesena	1.66	W	22.92	131.12	86.54	2,792.77
8/2/2014	Blackpool	Nott'm Forest	1.85	W	23.77	139.64	118.69	2,911.46
8/2/2014	Queen of Sth	Falkirk	1.94	W	24.71	139.64	131.26	3,042.72
8/2/2014	Setubal	Guimaraes	1.63	L	23.71	139.64	-139.64	2,903.09
9/2/2014	Atromitos	Asteras Tripolis	1.59	L	22.71	145.15	-145.15	2,757.93
10/2/2014	Aris	Panionios	1.59	W	23.30	137.90	81.36	2,839.29
11/2/2014	Torquay	Northampton	1.67	L	22.30	141.96	-141.96	2,697.33
12/2/2014	Stoke	Swansea	1.70	W	23.00	134.87	94.41	2,791.73
15/02/2014	Angers	Laval	1.61	W	23.61	139.59	85.15	2,876.88
15/02/2014	Brest	Auxerre	1.60	W	24.21	139.59	83.75	2,960.63
15/02/2014	Belenenses	Academica	1.54	W	24.75	139.59	75.38	3,036.01
15/02/2014	Sochaux	Guingamp	1.62	W	25.37	139.59	86.54	3,122.55
16/02/2014	Aris	Veria	1.71	W	26.08	156.13	110.85	3,233.40
16/02/2014	Guimaraes	Rio Ave	1.59	W	26.67	156.13	92.12	3,325.52

Hope to continue this success through the summer months with new leagues coming online.

Thanks for following, hope you're cashing in.

Cheers Dags

btw, above figures not include BF commission after deduction reduces profit to $1,812.37